Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho
Portimonense

Famalicao
2 - 2
Portimonense

Cadiz (60', 63')
Soares (6'), Sa (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tornich (7'), Carlinhos (77' pen.)
Carlinhos (5'), Pedrao (45+8'), Tamble (56'), Formiga (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 0-1 Sporting Lisbon
Tuesday, April 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Portimonense

All competitions
Last Game: Portimonense 2-2 Casa Pia
Sunday, April 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.88%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 24.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FamalicaoDrawPortimonense
50.88%24.29% (0.034000000000002 0.03)24.82% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (-0.177 -0.18)47.91% (0.176 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (-0.163 -0.16)70.09% (0.163 0.16)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)18.84% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.71% (-0.114 -0.11)50.29% (0.113 0.11)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.39% (-0.124 -0.12)33.61% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.74% (-0.135 -0.14)70.25% (0.134 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 50.88%
    Portimonense 24.82%
    Draw 24.29%
FamalicaoDrawPortimonense
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.23% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 50.88%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.9% (0.027 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 24.82%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 13
Portimonense
1-1
Famalicao
Varela (61')
Relvas (28'), Guga (47'), Tornich (57'), Luan (90+9')
Carrillo (73')
Fonseca (31')
Assuncao (39')
> Preview
Feb 24, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 22
Famalicao
1-0
Portimonense
Sanca (85')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 5
Portimonense
1-0
Famalicao
Pedrao (65')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 29
Portimonense
1-0
Famalicao
Junior (42')
Junior (43'), Carlinhos (45+1'), Relvas (70'), Jocu (79'), Luquinhas (83'), Possignolo (84')
Possignolo (90+4')

Tavares (23'), Riccieli (49'), Pickel (62'), Figueiras (62')
> Preview
Dec 21, 2021 8.45pm
Round of 16
Famalicao
1-1
Portimonense
(Aggregate 1-1 | Portimonense win 4-2 on penalties)
Rodrigues (82')
Rodrigues (83'), Riccieli (90+1'), Banza (105')
Boa Morte (45+2')
Ewerton (28'), Boa Morte (41'), Possignolo (43'), Moufi (78'), Niazmand (87'), Willyan (90+3'), Angulo (90+3'), Pedrao (105')
Boa Morte (51')