Primeira Liga
Gameweek
30
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-
Joca
36'
-
Miguel Nobrega
45'
-
Mateo Tanlongo
70'
-
Ze Manuel
90'+1'
-
Morlaye Sylla
42'
-
Rafa Mujica
47'
-
Weverson
78'
-
Robson Bambu
90'+5'
Rio Ave vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Rio Ave
37.65%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
26.31%
▲
(+0.02)
Arouca
36.04%
▲
(+0.07)
Both Teams to Score:
53.18%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 2.5
51.5%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 3.5
26.69%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 3.5
73.31%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 4.5
12.45%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
87.55%
▲
(+0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5
73.39%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
26.61%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 1.5
38.17%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 1.5
61.83%
▲
(+0.11)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
72.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
27.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
36.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
63.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Rio Ave
37.65%
Draw
26.31%
Arouca
36.04%
Rio Ave
1-0
@
9.7%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 37.65%
2-1 @ 8.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 37.65%
Draw
1-1
@
12.51%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-0 @ 7.33% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
Arouca
0-1
@
9.45%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.04%
1-2 @ 8.07% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.62% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 36.04%
