Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio de Sao Luis

Farense
3 - 2
Estoril

Silva (36'), Oliveira (45'), Duarte (65')
Falcao (43'), Isidoro (82'), Rossi (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Garcia (45+2'), Gomes (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Farense
Monday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, April 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that SC Farense would win this match.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Estoril Praia
33.99% ( 0.19)	24.41% ( 0.11)	41.59% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 59.39% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.66% (

-0.47)

43.34% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.26% (

-0.46)

65.74% (

0.47)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.13% (

-0.11)

24.87% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.52% (

-0.15)

59.48% (

0.16)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

-0.33)

20.95% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31% (

-0.53)

53.69% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

SC Farense 33.99%

Estoril Praia 41.59%

Draw 24.41%

SC Farense	Draw	Estoril Praia
2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.99%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.41%	1-2 @ 8.86% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 41.59%