Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 29, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
0 - 3
Farense

Gaspar (45+1'), Santos (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Duarte (44' pen.), Belloumi (47'), Matias (79')
Duarte (34'), Caseres (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Boavista 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, April 20 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

SC Farense

All competitions

Last Game: Farense 1-3 Benfica
Monday, April 22 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 52.26%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	SC Farense
52.26% ( -0.43)	23.22% ( 0.18)	24.53% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 57.1% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.49% (

-0.59)

43.51% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.09% (

-0.58)

65.91% (

0.58)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.33% (

-0.37)

16.67% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.46% (

-0.66)

46.54% (

0.66)

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.52% (

-0.11)

31.48% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.14% (

-0.13)

67.86% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 52.26%

SC Farense 24.53%

Draw 23.21%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	SC Farense
2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.21% Total : 52.26%	1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.21%	1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 24.53%