Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.