Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Famalicao logo

Estoril
1 - 0
Famalicao

Gomes (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Evangelista (38'), Nathan (61'), Youssouf (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Famalicao 2-2 Portimonense
Sunday, April 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawFamalicao
35.21% (0.145 0.15)25.69% (0.042999999999999 0.04)39.09% (-0.19 -0.19)
Both teams to score 55.18% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09% (-0.179 -0.18)48.9% (0.179 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29% (-0.164 -0.16)70.99% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.21%26.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.92%62.07% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (-0.181 -0.18)24.62% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.87% (-0.254 -0.25)59.12% (0.254 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 35.21%
    Famalicao 39.09%
    Draw 25.68%
Estoril PraiaDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 9.24% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.99% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 39.09%

How you voted: Estoril vs Famalicao

Estoril Praia
66.7%
Draw
14.3%
Famalicao
19.0%
21
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 14
Famalicao
1-1
Estoril
Cadiz (14')
Moura (2'), Mihaj (68'), Cadiz (74'), Pablo (85')
Cassiano (5')
Araujo (88')
Jan 29, 2023 8.30pm
Dec 15, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Estoril
0-1
Famalicao
Colombatto (9' pen.)
Aug 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
Estoril
2-0
Famalicao
Geraldes (20'), Arthur (45')
Geraldes (39'), Vital (70'), Esteves (90+5'), Joaozinho (90+8')

Colombatto (90+7')
Apr 29, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 32
Famalicao
3-1
Estoril
Marin (45+2'), Tavares (66'), Kadile (90+4')
Assuncao (26'), De La Fuente (49'), Kadile (90+5')
Fonte (68')
Geraldes (23')
Ferraresi (16')
rhs 2.0


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