Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 35.21% ( | 25.69% ( | 39.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.09% ( | 48.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29% ( | 70.99% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.21% | 26.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.92% | 62.07% ( |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( | 24.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( | 59.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-1 @ 3.52% ( 3-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0-2 @ 6.48% ( 1-3 @ 3.99% ( 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.82% Total : 39.09% |