MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 11:55:18| >> :600:167479:167479:
[monks data]
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 27, 2021 at 9.45pm UK
Estádio de São Luís
Portimonense

Farense
1 - 1
Portimonense

Henrique (24')
Mancha (35'), Lucca (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Boa Morte (79')
Willyan (33'), Cande (83')

Preview: SC Farense vs. Portimonense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

SC Farense play host to Portimonense on Tuesday evening knowing that victory could move the club outside of the Primeira Liga relegation zone.

While the visitors head into this fixture with the aim of moving closer to the top six, defeat would leave them vulnerable to being dragged into a battle to avoid the drop.


Match preview

Portimonense's Beto celebrates scoring their first goal in December 2020© Reuters

On the back of five defeats in six matches, Farense looked well on their way to relegation with just seven fixtures remaining in the season.

However, Tuesday's 2-0 triumph at Europa-League chasing Pacos de Ferreira has breathed new life into their campaign, the club now just three points adrift of 15th spot.

With this game taking place at the end of matchday 29, the picture could have change significantly over the next 48 hours, but Jorge Costa will stress to his players that they must focus on their own performances over the coming weeks.

Scottish playmaker Ryan Gauld remains Farense's key player with his 13th goal contribution of the season coming in the previous match.

Farense also ended their run of failing to score two or more goals in a single fixture, a period which had lasted eight matches and over two months.

Like their hosts, Portimonense have spent much of the campaign fighting for survival among 11 teams separated by small margins.

Three successive victories have proven enough to move Paulo Sergio's team out of trouble for the time being, but the performance in the last game means that Portimonense still have much work ahead of them.

After taking the lead against Benfica, five goals were conceded in just over one half of football, the first time that Portimonense had shipped more than three goals all season.

While ending the season in sixth position remains a possibility, Sergio will first want to ensure that his team do not drop back into the bottom six in the short term.

SC Farense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Portimonense Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Having replaced Lica during the early stages of the last fixture, Fabricio Isidoro is expected to start on the right flank for Farense.

With Costa not making any more changes until the final minutes, the remainder of the side should stay the same.

Sergio may make at least two changes to his Portimonense starting lineup after their capitulation versus Benfica.

Lucas Fernandes may be involved in a creative area, while Anderson Oliveira is also an option on one of the flanks.

Luquinhas will also hope to be recalled having contributed a goal and an assist in the two matches before he was dropped last time out.

SC Farense possible starting lineup:
Beto; Tavares, Martins, Mancha, Felipe; Oudrhiri; Isidoro, Gauld, Lucca, Mansilla; Henrique

Portimonense possible starting lineup:
Samuel; Moufi, Possignolo, Antonio, Cande; Willyan, Dener; Morte, Luquinhas, Fernandes; Beto


SM words green background

We say: SC Farense 2-1 Portimonense

While Farense can ill-afford many more defeats, they also need to capitalise on their home fixtures. With that in mind, we are backing the Primeira Liga strugglers to edge out opponents who may be lacking in confidence after their heavy defeat to Benfica.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:curl



ID:444710:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6939:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Farense vs Portimonense

SC Farense
39.2%
Draw
23.5%
Portimonense
37.3%
51
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021
Read Next:
Friday's Primeira Liga predictions including SC Farense vs. Sporting Lisbon
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!