Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 3, 2024 at 8.15pm UK

Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
1 - 0
Vizela

Ofori (23')
Camacho (66'), Frimpong (79'), Antonisse (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Essende (81'), Lacava (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 0-2 Moreirense
Sunday, April 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Rio Ave
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 54.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 21.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Vizela
54.96% ( 0.26)	23.15% ( 0.01)	21.89% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 54.03% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.97% (

-0.37)

46.03% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.67% (

-0.35)

68.33% (

0.35)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.38% (

-0.04)

16.62% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.55% (

-0.07)

46.45% (

0.08)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.8% (

-0.46)

35.2% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.05% (

-0.48)

71.96% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Moreirense 54.95%

Vizela 21.89%

Draw 23.15%

Moreirense	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 54.95%	1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.15%	0-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.89%