Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18

Feb 8, 2021 at 5pm UK

Estádio de São Luís

Farense
1 - 2
Moreirense

Pedro (90+3')
Oudrhiri (36'), Gauld (60'), Pedro (75'), Mansilla (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Yan (28'), Martins (79' pen.)
Vitoria (7'), Soares (43'), Camara (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
SC Farense	Draw	Moreirense
41.16%	28.77%	30.06%

Both teams to score 44.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.16%

61.83%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.38%

81.61%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.45%

29.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42%

65.57%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.11%

36.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.32%

73.68%

Score Analysis

SC Farense 41.16%

Moreirense 30.06%

Draw 28.77%

SC Farense	Draw	Moreirense
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 8.1% 2-1 @ 8.08% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.49% Total : 41.16%	1-1 @ 13.25% 0-0 @ 10.9% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.77%	0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 5.42% 1-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.83% Total : 30.06%