Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Beni Mukendi 29' yellowcard
  • Pablo Roberto 60' yellowcard
  • goal Goncalo Franco 33'
  • yellowcard Luis Nlavo 61'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 62'

Casa Pia vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2024 6.00pm
Braga 4 - 3 Casa Pia
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Clayton

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2024 8.15pm
Moreirense 1 - 0 Vizela
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Andre Luis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Moreirense.

Result

Casa Pia 33.05% (-0.56)
Draw 27.67% (+0.13)
Moreirense 39.28% (+0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.46% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.73% (-0.56)
Under 2.5 57.27% (+0.56)
Over 3.5 21.89% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 78.11% (+0.45)
Over 4.5 9.44% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 90.55% (+0.27)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 67.7% (-0.66)
Under 0.5 32.3% (+0.66)
Over 1.5 31.2% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 68.8% (+0.75)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 71.59% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 28.41% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 35.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.16% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 33.05%
Draw 27.67%
Moreirense 39.27%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.37% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.37% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 33.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.18% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.67%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 11.54% (+0.23)
1-2 @ 8.21% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 3.45% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.04)
1-4 @ 1.08% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 39.27%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 8, 2024 8.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Matheus Aias 14' goal
  • Joao Camacho 40' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Yuki Soma 18'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 26'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 35'
  • goal Joao Nunes 39'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 56'
  • yellowcard Telasco Segovia 90'+5'