Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 11, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora

El Ouazzani (53')
Moutinho (67'), Zalazar (86'), Marques (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kikas (80')
Keliano (45'), Nani (86'), Ruiz (90'), Bucca (90'), Lopes (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 0-0 Servette
Thursday, August 8 at 8.30pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica B 0-2 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 3 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.55%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.98%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 0-1 (3.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Estrela Amadora
70.55% ( 0.06)	17.58% ( -0.05)	11.87% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.87% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.78% (

0.23)

39.21% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.45% (

0.24)

61.55% (

-0.25)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.07% (

0.07)

9.93% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.13% (

0.18)

32.86% (

-0.18)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48% (

0.14)

43.51% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.27% (

0.11)

79.72% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Braga 70.55%

Estrela Amadora 11.87%

Draw 17.58%

Braga	Draw	Estrela Amadora
2-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 70.55%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 17.58%	0-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.45% 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.26% Total : 11.87%