Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
Arouca
May 5, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Estrela Amadora
  • Matias Rocha 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 40'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 44'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'+6'

Arouca vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2024 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Arouca
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Rafa Mujica

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2024 8.15pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 3 Farense
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result

Arouca 49.42% ▼ (-0.39)
Draw 24.47% ▲ (+0.11)
Estrela Amadora 26.1% ▲ (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.53% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.36% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 47.64% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 3.5 30.16% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 3.5 69.84% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 4.5 14.78% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 4.5 85.22% ▲ (+0.16)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 80.68% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 19.32% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 48.92% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 51.08% ▲ (+0.42)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 67.59% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 32.41% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 31.07% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 68.92% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Arouca 49.42%
Draw 24.47%
Estrela Amadora 26.1%
Arouca
1-0 @ 10.29% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.46% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.23% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.42%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.59% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.47%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 26.1%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Estrela Amadora
Dec 28, 2023 8.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
Arouca
  • Kialonda Gaspar 11' goal
  • Dida 71' redcard
  • yellowcard Rafa Mujica 40'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 47'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 66'
  • goal Jason 77'
  • goal Francisco Montero 80'
  • goal Andre Bukia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 90'+7'

Form Data

Gil Vicente 2 - 2 Arouca
Rio Ave 1 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 2 - 1 Boavista
Braga 0 - 3 Arouca
Arouca 2 - 1 Farense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Arouca
Estrela Amadora 0 - 3 Farense
Boavista 1 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 2 - 2 Rio Ave
Moreirense 2 - 2 Estrela Amadora
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Famalicao 0 - 0 Estrela Amadora