Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
0 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Rocha (90')

Varela (40'), Pinho (44'), Cordeiro (90+3'), Bucca (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-2 Arouca
Friday, April 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-3 Farense
Monday, April 29 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Estrela Amadora
49.42% ( -0.39)	24.47% ( 0.11)	26.1% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 54.53% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.36% (

-0.25)

47.64% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.16% (

-0.23)

69.84% (

0.23)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

-0.25)

19.32% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.92% (

-0.41)

51.08% (

0.41)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.59% (

0.09)

32.41% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.07% (

0.1)

68.92% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Arouca 49.42%

Estrela Amadora 26.1%

Draw 24.47%

Arouca	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 49.42%	1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.58% Total : 26.1%