Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Estrela Amadora

Vizela
4 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Samu (8'), Soro (54'), Pereira (69'), Oliveira (83')
Anderson (14'), Ruberto (74'), Ortiz (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pinho (10'), N'do (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions
Last Game: Moreirense 1-0 Vizela
Friday, May 3 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, May 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 45%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
VizelaDrawEstrela Amadora
45% (-0.348 -0.35)25.39% (0.013000000000002 0.01)29.61% (0.338 0.34)
Both teams to score 54.17% (0.146 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.68% (0.102 0.1)49.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.63% (0.09 0.09)71.37% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (-0.116 -0.12)21.9% (0.118 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84% (-0.177 -0.18)55.16% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36% (0.292 0.29)30.64% (-0.29 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (0.345 0.34)66.88% (-0.343 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 44.99%
    Estrela Amadora 29.61%
    Draw 25.38%
VizelaDrawEstrela Amadora
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.74% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 44.99%
1-1 @ 12.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 7.94% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.7% (0.056 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Vizela vs Estrela Amadora

Vizela
0.0%
Draw
80.0%
Estrela Amadora
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Estrela Amadora
1-1
Vizela
Luiz (7')
Samu (48')
Pereira (90')
> Preview
Nov 24, 2023 7.30pm
Fourth Round
Vizela
2-1
Estrela Amadora
Wilson (80')
Mendez (45+3'), Samu (85'), Unzueta (91'), Pereira (114'), Pereira (114')
Kikas (19')
Jaba (31'), Omorwa (73')
Jaba (85')
> Preview
Jul 24, 2021 3.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Estrela Amadora
2-1
Vizela
Cabrita Fernandes (15'), Rafael Pereira Araujo (89')
Neto (35'), Braima Jau (55'), Joaquim Goncalves Andrade Ponce de Leao (60'), Manuel Romano (73')
Cassiano (66')
Paulo (7'), Cassiano (49'), Gregorio Guzzo (78')