Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 15, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 0
Nacional

Carvalho (19')
Alvaro (5'), Michel (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vitor (69')
Ulisses (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 0-0 Estoril
Saturday, August 31 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Nacional

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Nacional 2-0 Farense
Sunday, September 1 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Nacional
43.35% ( 0.19)	27.26% ( -0.06)	29.39% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 48.35% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.21% (

0.18)

56.79% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.27% (

0.14)

77.73% (

-0.14)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02% (

0.18)

25.98% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.01% (

0.24)

60.99% (

-0.24)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.32% (

34.68% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.59% (

-0)

71.41% (

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 43.35%

Nacional 29.39%

Draw 27.26%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 12.14% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.35%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.26%	0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 29.39%