Primeira Liga
Gameweek
5
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-
Pedro Alvaro
5'
-
Joao Carvalho
19'
-
Michel
52'
-
Ulisses
65'
-
Ze Vitor
69'
Estoril Praia vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estoril Praia in this match.
Result
Estoril Praia
43.35%
▲
(+0.19)
Draw
27.26%
▼
(-0.07)
Nacional
29.39%
▼
(-0.13)
Both Teams to Score:
48.35%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.21%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 2.5
56.79%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 3.5
22.27%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
77.73%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 4.5
9.67%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
90.33%
▼
(-0.09)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
74.02%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
25.98%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
39.01%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 1.5
60.99%
▼
(-0.24)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
65.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
34.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
28.59%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
71.41%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Estoril Praia
43.35%
Draw
27.26%
Nacional
29.39%
Estoril Praia
1-0
@
12.14%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 43.35%
2-1 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.06% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 43.35%
Draw
1-1
@
12.86%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.26%
0-0 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.26%
Nacional
0-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.07)
1-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 29.39%
1-2 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 29.39%