Nacional
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))

Nacional
2 - 1
Porto II

FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Nacional and Porto II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Nacional
Wednesday, July 31 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: UD Oliveirense 3-1 Porto II
Saturday, July 27 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 53.57%. A win for Porto II had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Porto II win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawPorto II
53.57%22.36%24.07%
Both teams to score 59.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59%62.4%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.02%14.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.58%43.42%
Porto II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03%29.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92%66.08%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 53.57%
    Porto II 24.07%
    Draw 22.36%
NacionalDrawPorto II
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 3.72%
4-1 @ 2.93%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-1 @ 1.11%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 53.57%
1-1 @ 10.27%
2-2 @ 5.87%
0-0 @ 4.49%
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 6.19%
0-1 @ 5.41%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 24.07%