Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Estadio Municipal de Machico
Nacional

Machico
0 - 1
Nacional

FT
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Machico and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Machico

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Last Game: Belenenses 4-0 Machico
Thursday, November 10 at 11am in Taca de Portugal
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Nacional

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 Marítimo II
Wednesday, July 17 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Next Game: Maritimo vs. Nacional
Tuesday, July 23 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Machico had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Machico win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
MachicoDrawNacional
19.1%21.44%59.45%
Both teams to score 55.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.78%42.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.37%64.62%
Machico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.18%35.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.41%72.59%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.16%13.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.79%41.21%
Score Analysis
    Machico 19.1%
    Nacional 59.45%
    Draw 21.44%
MachicoDrawNacional
2-1 @ 5.17%
1-0 @ 5.09%
2-0 @ 2.61%
3-1 @ 1.77%
3-2 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 19.1%
1-1 @ 10.06%
2-2 @ 5.11%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-1 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 9.69%
1-3 @ 6.56%
0-3 @ 6.39%
2-3 @ 3.37%
1-4 @ 3.24%
0-4 @ 3.16%
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.28%
0-5 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 59.45%

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