Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 4
Santa Clara

Marques (19')
Pina (49'), Orellana (55'), Alvaro (79'), Mangala (80'), Safira (82'), Zanocelo (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lopes (44'), Safira (70' pen.), Antonio (74'), Pedro Augusto Mourao Costa (84')
Soares (34'), Lopes (41'), Safira (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Estoril
Saturday, August 3 at 10am in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica B 1-3 Santa Clara
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Santa Clara
27.14% ( -0.57)	27.17% ( -0.04)	45.7% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 47.26% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.47% (

-0.15)

57.53% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.68% (

-0.12)

78.32% (

0.12)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12% (

-0.54)

36.88% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.33% (

-0.55)

73.67% (

0.55)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.87% (

0.23)

25.13% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.16% (

0.32)

59.84% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 27.14%

Santa Clara 45.69%

Draw 27.16%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.8% Total : 27.14%	1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.16%	0-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.69%