Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Santa Clara
29.67% ( 0.1)	27.24% ( 0.05)	43.09% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 48.54% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.39% (

-0.17)

56.61% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.41% (

-0.14)

77.58% (

0.13)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.62% (

-0.02)

34.38% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.91% (

-0.02)

71.09% (

0.01)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

-0.17)

26.02% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.94% (

-0.22)

61.05% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 29.67%

Santa Clara 43.09%

Draw 27.23%

Rio Ave	Draw	Santa Clara
1-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.67%	1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.23%	0-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 43.09%