Rio Ave vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.