Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 33.02% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.42%).
Result | ||
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
42.47% | 24.51% | 33.02% |
Both teams to score 58.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.95% | 44.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.57% | 66.43% |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% | 20.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% | 53.53% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% | 25.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.26% | 60.73% |
Score Analysis |
Arouca | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
2-1 @ 8.96% 1-0 @ 8.43% 2-0 @ 6.61% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 3.45% 3-2 @ 3.17% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.74% Total : 42.47% | 1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.74% 0-1 @ 7.28% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 3.5% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |