Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Cristo (39' pen.)
Kouassi (45+2'), Simao (64'), Borevkovic (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Oliveira (50'), Thiago (53' og.), Silva (62')
Silva (33'), Silva (45+3'), Andre (72'), Lawal (82'), Ribeiro (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Arouca
Sunday, May 12 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-3 Braga
Saturday, May 11 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
43.44% ( -0.01)	24.61% ( -0)	31.95% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.13% (

0.02)

44.87% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.77% (

0.02)

67.23% (

-0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.26% (

20.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.63% (

0.01)

53.37% (

-0.01)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16% (

0.02)

26.84% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.85% (

0.02)

62.14% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Arouca 43.44%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 31.95%

Draw 24.6%

Arouca	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.44%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.6%	1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.95%