Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Benfica win with a probability of 73.6%. A draw has a probability of 15.5% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 10.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.19%) and 3-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.07%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-2 (3.22%).
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
73.6% ( -1.58) | 15.52% ( 0.57) | 10.88% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 55.39% ( 1.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.18% ( 0.38) | 31.83% ( -0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.64% ( 0.45) | 53.36% ( -0.44) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.59% ( -0.22) | 7.41% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.3% ( -0.6) | 26.7% ( 0.6) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.83% ( 2.15) | 40.18% ( -2.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.19% ( 1.9) | 76.82% ( -1.89) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Arouca |
2-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.51) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.4) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.22) 5-0 @ 2.96% ( -0.25) 5-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.12) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.64% Total : 73.6% | 1-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.3) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.18% Total : 15.52% | 1-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.45% Total : 10.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |