Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 17, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
1 - 6
Sporting Lisbon

Thomas (36')
Ulisses (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Goncalves (16'), Trincao (41', 57'), Gyokeres (51' pen., 76'), Braganca (66')
Inacio (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-1 Nacional
Saturday, August 10 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Rio Ave
Friday, August 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 20.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Nacional win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
20.28% ( 0.07)	21.57% ( -0.05)	58.14% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.89% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.92% (

0.34)

41.07% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.53% (

0.35)

63.47% (

-0.34)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

0.27)

33.94% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.38% (

0.29)

70.62% (

-0.29)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

0.11)

13.87% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.73% (

0.21)

41.26% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

Nacional 20.28%

Sporting Lisbon 58.14%

Draw 21.57%

Nacional	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.28%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.57%	1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.54% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.99% 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 58.14%