Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Nacional |
39.87% | 28.1% | 32.03% |
Both teams to score 46.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% | 59.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.49% | 79.51% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% | 28.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% | 64.82% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.06% | 33.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.39% | 70.61% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 75 | 25 | 50 | 65 |
2 | Benfica | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 64 |
3 | Porto | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 18 | 32 | 58 |
4 | Braga | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 34 | 21 | 53 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 50 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 42 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 34 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 28 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 28 |
10 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 28 |
11 | Casa Pia | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 27 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 27 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 42 | 49 | -7 | 25 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
17 | Vizela | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 21 |
18 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 56 | -31 | 19 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |