Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Moreirense | Draw | Nacional |
39.87% | 28.1% | 32.03% |
Both teams to score 46.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.94% | 59.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.49% | 79.51% |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.07% | 28.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% | 64.82% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.06% | 33.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.39% | 70.61% |
Score Analysis |
Moreirense | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 29 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 84 | 27 | 57 | 77 |
2 | Benfica | 29 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 70 |
3 | Porto | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 53 | 23 | 30 | 59 |
4 | Braga | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 59 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 57 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 43 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 36 | -5 | 35 |
9 | Casa Pia | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 30 |
12 | BoavistaBoavista | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 55 | -21 | 29 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 29 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 28 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 28 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 62 | -30 | 27 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 22 |
18 | Vizela | 29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |