Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2021 at 3pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 2
Nacional

Ferraresi (62'), Luis (81')
Simao (16'), Franco (44'), Luis (78'), Soares (90+1'), Camara (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Soares (43' og.), Rochez (74')
Mendes (18'), Azouni (53'), Bessa (66'), Danilovic (71'), Pedrao (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Nacional
39.87%	28.1%	32.03%

Both teams to score 46.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.94%

59.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49%

79.51%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07%

28.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.18%

64.82%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06%

33.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39%

70.61%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 39.86%

Nacional 32.03%

Draw 28.1%

Moreirense	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 12.17% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.05% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.65% Total : 39.86%	1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.1%	0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.36% Total : 32.03%