Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 11.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.