Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 11.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 3-0 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Sevilla
72.84% ( 0.01)	15.64% ( -0.01)	11.52% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.39% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.53% (

0.01)

30.46% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.25% (

0.01)

51.75% (

-0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.75% (

7.24% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.74% (

0.01)

26.26% (

-0.01)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.87% (

-0.01)

38.12% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.11% (

-0.01)

74.89% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 72.84%

Sevilla 11.52%

Draw 15.64%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Sevilla
2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.03% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.46% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.54% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 72.84%	1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 15.64%	1-2 @ 3.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.66% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.69% Total : 11.52%