Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 47.11% ( | 24.49% ( | 28.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% ( | 46.12% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( | 68.42% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( | 19.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.35% ( | 51.65% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( | 29.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.03% ( | 65.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 3% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 28.39% |