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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 11, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Sevilla logo

Villarreal
3 - 2
Sevilla

Sorloth (30', 30', 90+7'), Mosquera (84')
Cuenca (63'), Reina (76'), Ocampos (78'), Bailly (88')
FT(HT: 2-4)
En-Nesyri (26' pen., 26' pen., 44', 44')
Kouassi (17'), Kouassi (17'), Ocampos (70'), Salas (88'), Ramos (90+7'), Agoume (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawSevilla
47.11% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)24.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)28.39% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.33% (0.246 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.87% (0.299 0.3)46.12% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.57% (0.281 0.28)68.42% (-0.283 -0.28)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.10799999999999 0.11)19.67% (-0.11 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.176 0.18)51.65% (-0.178 -0.18)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.211 0.21)29.87% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.255 0.26)65.96% (-0.256 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 47.11%
    Sevilla 28.39%
    Draw 24.49%
VillarrealDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.09% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.87% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 28.39%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Sevilla

Villarreal
39.7%
Draw
31.0%
Sevilla
29.3%
58
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Sevilla
1-1
Villarreal
Salas (75')
Sow (45+3'), Sanchez (52'), Rakitic (90+6')
Luis Morales (77')
Pedraza (45'), Marcelino (46'), Altimira (54'), Reina (90+8')
Apr 23, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Sevilla
2-1
Villarreal
Mir (34'), En-Nesyri (90+4')
Torres (55')
Sep 18, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 6
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Baena (51')
Torres (8')
May 8, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 35
Villarreal
1-1
Sevilla
Lo Celso (86')
Chukwueze (4'), Lo Celso (45'), Capoue (73')
Kounde (90+5')
Dec 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 16
Sevilla
1-0
Villarreal
Ocampos (16')
Rakitic (45+3'), Mir (57')

Albiol (61'), Dia (90+2')