Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Granada |
| 53.02% ( | 25.2% ( | 21.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% ( | 54.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% ( | 75.75% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( | 20.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47% ( | 53% ( |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.98% ( | 40.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.33% ( | 76.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 3-0 @ 5.44% ( 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.02% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.32% ( Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 1-2 @ 5.45% ( 0-2 @ 3.44% ( 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0-3 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.33% Total : 21.78% |