Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.