Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.