Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Osasuna |
| 39.99% ( | 26.91% | 33.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% ( | 54.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% | 75.73% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( | 26.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( | 61.87% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( | 30.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( | 67.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Almeria | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 39.98% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0-3 @ 2.24% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.1% |