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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Osauna logo

Almeria
0 - 3
Osasuna


Baptistao (51'), Robertone (51'), Pena (79')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Arnaiz (2'), Budimir (9'), Munoz (61')
Arnaiz (37'), Areso (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Osasuna 2-4 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 16 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawOsasuna
39.99% (0.009999999999998 0.01)26.91%33.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.78% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65% (0.0020000000000024 0)54.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.26%75.73% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (0.010000000000005 0.01)26.63% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.87% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)30.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)67.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 39.98%
    Osasuna 33.1%
    Draw 26.91%
AlmeriaDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.45% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 39.98%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 33.1%

How you voted: Almeria vs Osasuna

Almeria
36.7%
Draw
28.6%
Osasuna
34.7%
49
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 19
Osasuna
1-0
Almeria
Budimir (27')
Catena (89')

Robertone (29'), Chumi (75')
May 13, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 34
Osasuna
3-1
Almeria
Budimir (46'), Ezzalzouli (51'), Gomez (81')
Lazaro (90+2')
Sep 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna
Avila (28')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Fourth Round
Almeria
0-0
Osasuna
Almeria win 5-4 on penalties
Fernandes (116')
Garcia (68'), Vidal (72'), Sanjurjo (119')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 23
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Saveljich (24'), Aguza (64'), de la Hoz (78'), Rioja (90')
Brandon (75')
Hernandez (34'), Brandon (88')