Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 28.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
| 42.87% ( | 28.77% | 28.36% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.58% ( | 62.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% ( | 82.04% ( |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( | 28.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( | 64.76% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.43% ( | 38.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.69% ( | 75.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.83% ( 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 42.86% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 2-2 @ 3.9% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0-2 @ 5.06% ( 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 2-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 1.57% Total : 28.36% |