La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Mar 17, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
1 - 0
Valencia

Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ozkacar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Valencia
54.63% ( 0.19)	23.45% ( -0.08)	21.91% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 53.09% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

0.2)

47.29% (

-0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49% (

0.19)

69.51% (

-0.19)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

0.14)

17.19% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54% (

0.25)

47.46% (

-0.25)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.12% (

0.01)

35.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.34% (

0.01)

72.66% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 54.63%

Valencia 21.91%

Draw 23.45%

Villarreal	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.86% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.63%	1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.45%	0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.87% Total : 21.91%