Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.