La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
1 - 2
Barcelona

En-Nesyri (31')
Salas (36'), Ocampos (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lewandowski (15'), Lopez (59')
Cancelo (49')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Sevilla
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, May 19 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Barcelona
29.07% ( 0.03)	23.65% ( 0.23)	47.28% ( -0.26)

Both teams to score 59.71% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.1% (

-1.05)

41.89% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.7% (

-1.07)

64.3% (

1.07)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.76% (

-0.51)

27.24% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.33% (

-0.67)

62.66% (

0.67)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.06% (

-0.51)

17.93% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.25% (

-0.88)

48.75% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 29.07%

Barcelona 47.28%

Draw 23.64%

Sevilla	Draw	Barcelona
2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.07%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.64%	1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.7% Total : 47.28%