La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 29, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
4 - 2
Valencia

Lopez (22'), Lewandowski (49', 82', 90+3')
Cubarsi (42')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Duro (27'), Pepelu (38' pen.)
Mamardashvili (45+4')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Betis
Saturday, April 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Valencia
62.24% ( -0.09)	20.97% ( 0.08)	16.79% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.33% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.07% (

-0.33)

43.93% (

0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.68% (

-0.33)

66.32% (

0.33)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

-0.13)

13.54% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.38% (

-0.27)

40.62% (

0.27)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53% (

-0.18)

39.47% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.84% (

-0.17)

76.16% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Barcelona 62.23%

Valencia 16.79%

Draw 20.97%

Barcelona	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 62.23%	1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.97%	0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 16.79%