La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
0 - 1
Barcelona

Alcaraz (45+1'), Hernandez (64'), Marti (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Felix (37')
Cubarsi (26'), Roberto (45+1'), ter Stegen (77')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 1-0 Granada
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: PSG 2-3 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 23.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Barcelona
23.62% ( 0.4)	24.57% ( 0.03)	51.8% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 51.7% (

0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.83% (

0.27)

50.17% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

0.24)

72.13% (

-0.24)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1% (

0.52)

35.89% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33% (

0.52)

72.67% (

-0.52)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.65% (

-0.06)

19.35% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.87% (

-0.1)

51.12% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 23.62%

Barcelona 51.8%

Draw 24.57%

Cadiz	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.62%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.13% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.98% Total : 51.8%