/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
-
Fermin Lopez
15'
-
Joao Cancelo
17'
-
Andreas Christensen
19'
-
Lamine Yamal
44'
-
Robert Lewandowski
83'
-
Amir Rrahmani
30'
-
Juan Jesus
45'+2'
-
Hamed Traore
63'
-
Mathias Olivera
67'
Barcelona vs Napoli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F11%2Fbarcelona.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F08%2Fnapbar.JPG)
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F10%2Ffrenkie-de-jong.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Barcelona
48.56%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
23.38%
Napoli
28.06%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
59.91%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.7%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
41.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
36.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
63.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
19.25%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
80.75%
▲
(+0.02)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
82.78%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
17.21%
Over 1.5
52.5%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
47.5%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
72.37%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
27.63%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
36.83%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
63.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Barcelona
48.56%
Draw
23.38%
Napoli
28.06%
Barcelona
2-1
@
9.47%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 48.56%
1-0 @ 8.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 48.56%
Draw
1-1
@
10.76%
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.38%
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.38%
Napoli
1-2
@
6.92%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 28.06%
Arturo Vidal
89'