La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Mar 30, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys

Barcelona
1 - 0
Las Palmas

Raphinha (19', 59')
Gundogan (51'), Roberto (63'), Martinez (64'), Lewandowski (81'), Cancelo (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardona (14')
Valles (24')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Las Palmas

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-1 Almeria
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 72.38%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 11.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 1-2 (3.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Las Palmas
72.38% ( 0.11)	16.25% ( -0.05)	11.37% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.25% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.92% (

0.13)

34.08% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.05% (

0.15)

55.95% (

-0.14)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.8% (

0.06)

8.2% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.28% (

0.14)

28.71% (

-0.14)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.09% (

40.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.53% (

77.47% (

Score Analysis

Barcelona 72.38%

Las Palmas 11.37%

Draw 16.25%

Barcelona	Draw	Las Palmas
2-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 72.38%	1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.25%	1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 11.37%