Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 47.03% ( | 24.31% ( | 28.66% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.13% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.83% ( | 45.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.48% ( | 67.51% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% ( | 19.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.92% ( | 51.08% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.81% ( | 29.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.86% ( | 65.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 4-2 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.28% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.76% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 28.66% |