La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 26, 2024 at 8pm UK

Reale Arena

Real Sociedad
0 - 1
Real Madrid

Le Normand (40'), Zubeldia (70'), Merino (87')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guler (29')
Guler (15'), Garcia (56'), Tchouameni (83'), Nacho (88')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 21 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 Barcelona
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
35.38% ( -0.4)	25.04% ( 0.04)	39.57% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 57.44% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.99% (

-0.23)

46% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.69% (

-0.22)

68.31% (

0.22)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

-0.34)

25.33% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89% (

-0.47)

60.11% (

0.47)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.92% (

0.08)

23.08% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.08% (

0.12)

56.92% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 35.38%

Real Madrid 39.57%

Draw 25.04%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.38%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04%	1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.17% Total : 39.57%