Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Almeria |
| 62.69% ( | 21.19% ( | 16.12% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.91% ( | 46.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.61% ( | 68.39% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.9% ( | 14.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.28% ( | 41.72% ( |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.39% ( | 41.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( | 78.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-0 @ 11.25% ( 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 3-0 @ 7.35% ( 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 5-1 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 62.68% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( 0-0 @ 5.87% ( 2-2 @ 4.33% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0-2 @ 2.26% ( 1-3 @ 1.29% ( 2-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.12% |