Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 62.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.