La Liga
Gameweek
36
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-
Fermin Lopez
14'
-
Fermin Lopez
67'
-
Vitor Roque
85'
Almeria vs Barcelona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result
Almeria
24.17%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
23.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Barcelona
52.48%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
56.24%
▲
(+0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.54%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 2.5
44.46%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 3.5
33.17%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
66.82%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
16.92%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 4.5
83.08%
▼
(-0.08)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5
67.71%
Under 0.5
32.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
31.21%
Under 1.5
68.79%
▼
(-0.01)
Barcelona Goals
Over 0.5
83.06%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
16.94%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
52.98%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
47.01%
▼
(-0.14)
Score analysis
Almeria
24.17%
Draw
23.34%
Barcelona
52.48%
Almeria
2-1
@
6.21%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 24.17%
1-0 @ 6.18% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 24.17%
Draw
1-1
@
10.97%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.34%
2-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.34%
Barcelona
1-2
@
9.75%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 52.48%
0-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4%
Total : 52.48%