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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Benito Villamarin
Almeria

Betis
3 - 2
Almeria

Fornals (8'), Isco (28'), Perez (64')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baptistao (45+1'), Romero (66')
Pena (40'), Chumi (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Betis and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.

Result
Real BetisDrawAlmeria
58.14% (0.585 0.59)21.82% (0.138 0.14)20.03% (-0.721 -0.72)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-1.65 -1.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (-1.633 -1.63)42.57% (1.637 1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (-1.648 -1.65)64.97% (1.651 1.65)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.64% (-0.355 -0.36)14.36% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.77% (-0.7 -0.7)42.23% (0.704 0.7)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-1.648 -1.65)35.05% (1.653 1.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-1.768 -1.77)71.8% (1.773 1.77)
Score Analysis
    Real Betis 58.14%
    Almeria 20.03%
    Draw 21.82%
Real BetisDrawAlmeria
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.026 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.576 0.58)
2-0 @ 9.48% (0.441 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.13% (0.209 0.21)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.192 -0.19)
4-1 @ 3.12% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.98% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.045 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 58.14%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.225 -0.23)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.358 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.82%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-1 @ 5.28% (0.149 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.77% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 20.03%

How you voted: Betis vs Almeria

Real Betis
88.9%
Draw
6.3%
Almeria
4.8%
63
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Almeria
0-0
Betis
Roca (52'), Diao (73'), Silva (83')
Bellerin (27')
Feb 11, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Almeria
2-3
Betis
Suarez Charris (27'), Samu (62')
Rodri (6'), Canales (42'), Guardado (70')
Oct 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 9
Betis
3-1
Almeria
Carvalho (23', 71'), Iglesias (66')
Dec 16, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Almeria
2-1
Betis
Michel (59'), Zongo (74')
Michel (9'), Bifouma (46'), Trujillo (71'), Corona (84')
Perquis (78')
Perquis (50'), Piccini (61')
Dec 5, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Betis
3-4
Almeria
Castro (80'), Perquis (86'), Molina (90')
Perquis (36'), Caro (60'), Casado (63')
Mane (3'), Dangda (7'), Quique (29'), Mendez (61')
Sanchez (46'), Dangda (57')
rhs 2.0


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