Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 16.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 61.73% ( | 21.81% ( | 16.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( | 48.1% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( | 70.27% ( |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( | 15.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.43% ( | 43.57% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.61% ( | 42.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.23% ( | 78.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 2-0 @ 11.43% ( 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 3-0 @ 7.22% ( 3-1 @ 6.2% ( 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 4-1 @ 2.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 5-1 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 61.72% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 2-2 @ 4.21% ( Other @ 0.84% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.48% ( 1-2 @ 4.45% ( 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.46% |