Club Friendlies 3
Jul 27, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 11' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 25' yellowcard
  • Marcus Edwards 80' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 83' goal
  • yellowcard Mikel Jauregizar 16'

Sporting Lisbon vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 23, 2024 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 24, 2024 6.30pm
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Racing

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 56.82% (+0.03)
Draw 21.45% (-0.02)
Athletic Bilbao 21.73% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.61% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.46% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 38.53% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 39.17% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 60.83% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 21.48% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 78.52% (-0.04)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 86.56% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 13.43% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 59.59% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 40.4% (-0.05)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 68.86% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.13% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 32.54% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 67.46% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 56.82%
Draw 21.45%
Athletic Bilbao 21.73%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.43% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.64% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.83% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 56.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.8% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.45%
Athletic Bilbao
1-2 @ 5.72% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 21.73%