Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.63%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 15.39%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Racing de Santander
62.63% ( 0.03)	21.98% ( -0.02)	15.39% ( -0)

Both teams to score 46.14% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.36% (

0.09)

50.64% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.45% (

0.08)

72.55% (

-0.07)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.39% (

0.04)

15.61% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.39% (

0.07)

44.61% (

-0.07)

Racing de Santander Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.67% (

0.05)

45.33% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.81% (

0.04)

81.2% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 62.62%

Racing de Santander 15.39%

Draw 21.98%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Racing de Santander
1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 62.62%	1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.37% Total : 15.39%