Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Santander win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Santander win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.