Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 12.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.