Segunda Division | Gameweek 33
Mar 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere

Real Oviedo
2 - 1
Villarreal II

Alemao (5', 45+1')
Colombatto (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ontiveros (41' pen.)
Rodri (22'), Navarro Badenes (45+5'), Ontiveros (81')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Real Oviedo and Villarreal II.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last Game: Alcorcon 1-0 Real Oviedo
Saturday, March 23 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Villarreal II

All competitions
Last Game: Villarreal II 1-2 Leganes
Saturday, March 23 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 72.71%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 9.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.53%) and 3-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.39%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.

Result
Real OviedoDrawVillarreal II
72.71% (-0.102 -0.1)18.25% (0.149 0.15)9.03% (-0.048100000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 38.43% (-0.59500000000001 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.725 -0.73)50.23% (0.722 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.647 -0.65)72.19% (0.645 0.64)
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.6% (-0.239 -0.24)12.4% (0.237 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.71% (-0.5 -0.5)38.29% (0.498 0.5)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
43.88% (-0.561 -0.56)56.12% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.46% (-0.327 -0.33)88.54% (0.324 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Real Oviedo 72.7%
    Villarreal II 9.03%
    Draw 18.25%
Real OviedoDrawVillarreal II
2-0 @ 15.16% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 14.53% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.09% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 5.5% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.18% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-0 @ 2.3% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 72.7%
1-1 @ 8.39% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.202 0.2)
2-2 @ 2.53% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 18.25%
0-1 @ 4.02% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 2.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.16% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 9.03%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Villarreal II
1-1
Real Oviedo
Fores (9')
Del Moral (42')
Suarez (90+3')
Luengo (64'), Calvo (69'), Bretones (70')
Calvo (90+6')
Jan 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Real Oviedo
0-1
Villarreal II
Nino (8')
Nov 2, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 14
Villarreal II
2-1
Real Oviedo
Carlos Arana (62'), Fall (90+2')
Obeng (52')