Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 55.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.