Segunda Division | Gameweek 30
Mar 10, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Elche

Villarreal II
0 - 1
Elche


Requena (61'), Espigares (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Castro (15')
Josan (13'), Puigmal (45'), Gonzalez (62'), Fernandez (77'), Garces (86')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Villarreal II and Elche.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal II

All competitions
Last Game: Eldense 2-0 Villarreal II
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Segunda Division

Elche

All competitions
Last Game: Elche 3-0 Alcorcon
Monday, March 4 at 7.30pm in Segunda Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Villarreal II had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Villarreal II win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Elche in this match.

Result
Villarreal IIDrawElche
31.46% (0.252 0.25)27.92% (0.14 0.14)40.62% (-0.393 -0.39)
Both teams to score 47.3% (-0.319 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.46% (-0.443 -0.44)58.53% (0.442 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89% (-0.346 -0.35)79.11% (0.345 0.34)
Villarreal II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)34.07% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)70.76% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74% (-0.43000000000001 -0.43)28.26% (0.429 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03% (-0.546 -0.55)63.97% (0.545 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal II 31.45%
    Elche 40.61%
    Draw 27.92%
Villarreal IIDrawElche
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.05% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.58% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 31.45%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.63% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.92%
0-1 @ 12.16% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 3.49% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.24% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 40.61%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Elche
1-0
Villarreal II
Fidel (9' pen.)
Josan (84'), Clerc (90+2')