Segunda Division | Gameweek 29

Mar 4, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martinez Valero

Elche
3 - 0
Alcorcon

Mourad (10'), Morente (27' pen.), Fernandez (37')
Castro (54')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bravo (18'), Garcia (45'), Babin (90+1')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Elche and Alcorcon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Cartagena 0-1 Elche
Sunday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alcorcon

All competitions

Last Game: Alcorcon 1-1 Tenerife
Sunday, February 25 at 3.15pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 52.94%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Alcorcon
52.94% ( 0.83)	27.55% ( 0.02)	19.5% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 38.92% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.7% (

-0.8)

64.29% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.6% (

-0.57)

83.39% (

0.57)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26% (

0.02)

24.74% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.7% (

0.03)

59.29% (

-0.03)

Alcorcon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.71% (

-1.45)

48.28% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.56% (

-1.08)

83.44% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Elche 52.94%

Alcorcon 19.5%

Draw 27.54%

Elche	Draw	Alcorcon
1-0 @ 16.68% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 52.94%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.37% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.14% Total : 19.5%