Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 38.72%. A draw had a probability of 32.8% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.53%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 2-1 (6.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.63%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.